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2025-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 39.7% 60.3% +2.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Log Adjusted 46.0% 54.0% -
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (96-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 34 9-17 2-5 0-0 8 4 1 1 0 20 17 -
Jaylen Wells * 31 3-10 0-2 3-4 5 4 0 0 0 9 8 -
Zach Edey * 26 2-3 0-0 8-8 15 3 1 4 4 12 28 -
Cedric Coward * 25 3-11 0-4 3-5 2 1 0 0 0 9 1 -
Vince Williams Jr. * 24 3-9 0-3 4-4 10 6 2 0 3 10 16 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 10 3 -
Cam Spencer 23 6-10 3-5 2-2 4 5 1 0 1 17 16 -
John Konchar 19 2-5 0-2 0-1 7 1 0 0 2 4 5 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 17 1-8 0-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
GG Jackson 7 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
Jock Landale 4 3-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 3 -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cooper Flagg * 33 4-15 1-3 3-4 7 1 1 1 1 12 6 -
P.J. Washington * 31 7-17 1-5 0-1 8 4 1 2 2 15 11 -
Brandon Williams * 31 6-11 2-4 4-4 3 4 1 0 1 18 14 -
Daniel Gafford * 27 2-6 0-0 1-1 8 4 0 2 2 5 11 -
Max Christie * 22 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 9 3 -
Naji Marshall 29 4-8 1-4 4-4 7 4 0 2 0 13 18 -
Klay Thompson 27 7-17 6-12 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 22 5 -
Jaden Hardy 12 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Caleb Martin 11 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Moussa Cisse 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 1 0 6 -
Dwight Powell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter