Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.4% | 10.6% | -11.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -13 (116-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 32 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 27 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 28 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 22 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 23 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 16 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 15 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Javonte Green | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Paul Reed | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 33 | 9-21 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| AJ Green * | 28 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Portis * | 25 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 16 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gary Harris | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Pete Nance | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mark Sears | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter