Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (135-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 37 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 33 | 13-17 | 8-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 31 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 29 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 20 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 25 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 16 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 31 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 6-10 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 32 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 21 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 18 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter