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2025-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 69.3% 30.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - βœ“
Margin 26.7% 73.3% +5.5 βœ“ (35.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% - βœ“
Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 30.3% 69.7% - βœ“

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +41 (137-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 26 10-17 4-8 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 26 11 -
Drew Eubanks * 25 4-6 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 1 3 9 7 -
Precious Achiuwa * 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 2 6 -
Russell Westbrook * 20 4-10 2-6 1-2 7 4 0 0 4 11 8 -
DeMar DeRozan * 15 2-3 0-0 3-3 0 2 1 0 0 7 7 -
Keegan Murray 32 5-13 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 1 -
Dennis SchrΓΆder 25 0-8 0-4 3-4 2 6 0 1 3 3 1 -
Maxime Raynaud 20 6-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 12 9 -
Nique Clifford 19 2-3 2-2 2-4 2 3 2 0 1 8 11 -
Keon Ellis 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
Malik Monk 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 2 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 27 11-18 5-11 2-3 5 3 0 2 1 29 20 -
Zach Edey * 24 7-7 1-1 1-1 4 0 2 0 0 16 15 -
Cedric Coward * 24 7-13 4-9 1-1 4 4 0 0 1 19 13 -
Vince Williams Jr. * 23 2-7 0-3 0-0 5 15 2 0 3 4 16 -
Jaylen Wells * 18 4-9 2-5 3-4 1 2 1 0 0 13 8 -
Cam Spencer 24 2-11 1-8 2-3 2 6 1 0 0 7 5 -
John Konchar 20 1-3 0-1 1-2 7 3 2 0 1 3 11 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 18 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 7 1 0 0 2 7 -
Olivier-Maxence Prosper 18 3-3 1-1 4-6 1 1 1 0 0 11 11 -
GG Jackson 18 2-9 0-5 2-2 9 1 1 1 1 6 8 -
Jock Landale 14 8-9 1-2 4-4 6 0 0 0 0 21 18 -
Jahmai Mashack 6 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -

* = starter