Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -10 (104-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 40 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 38 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 26 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 6-18 | 1-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 22 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 19 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Clint Capela | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 4-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 30 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin * | 19 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Dean Wade | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 25 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 25 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter