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2025-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% - ✗
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 ✓ (16.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% - ✗
Efficiency 63.7% 36.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.1% 37.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.6% 46.4% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -17 (110-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Royce O'Neale * 31 3-10 3-10 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 9 6 -
Devin Booker * 29 6-13 1-2 6-6 6 5 3 0 1 19 19 -
Ryan Dunn * 26 4-8 1-1 0-0 3 4 5 0 1 9 12 -
Dillon Brooks * 25 5-11 1-6 1-2 2 4 3 0 3 12 7 -
Mark Williams * 21 7-9 0-0 1-2 6 1 2 1 2 15 14 -
Collin Gillespie 28 6-11 4-9 3-3 3 6 1 0 3 19 15 -
Jordan Goodwin 21 4-10 2-5 0-0 4 1 3 1 1 10 8 -
Oso Ighodaro 16 6-7 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 14 11 -
Isaiah Livers 12 1-3 1-3 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Nick Richards 10 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 8 4 -
Rasheer Fleming 9 0-4 0-2 4-4 6 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
Nigel Hayes-Davis 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jamaree Bouyea 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 3 3 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 32 2-10 2-9 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 6 -2 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 29 12-24 0-6 5-7 2 3 1 0 2 29 9 -
Deni Avdija * 29 7-17 2-6 3-4 5 5 0 0 1 19 11 -
Kris Murray * 25 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Donovan Clingan * 23 3-8 0-0 3-3 12 2 0 5 2 9 18 -
Caleb Love 32 7-14 3-8 0-0 7 3 1 0 3 17 11 -
Sidy Cissoko 28 2-7 1-4 3-3 3 5 2 0 2 8 9 -
Yang Hansen 13 4-7 0-2 1-1 5 3 0 1 3 9 8 -
Duop Reath 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Robert Williams III 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 4 -
Rayan Rupert 8 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter