Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +10 (111-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 33 | 8-20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Cedric Coward * | 25 | 7-15 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 25 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 23 | 6-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jock Landale | 17 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| John Konchar | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 30 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 7 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter