Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +24 (120-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 26 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Moussa Cisse * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Max Christie * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 23 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 22 | 4-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 17 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Miles Kelly | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Edwards * | 29 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Julius Randle * | 26 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 26 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Naz Reid | 22 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jaylen Clark | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mike Conley | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Rob Dillingham | 12 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Leonard Miller | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Bones Hyland | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Joan Beringer | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Joe Ingles | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Johnny Juzang | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter