Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +2 (110-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 38 | 9-22 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Kon Knueppel * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| LaMelo Ball * | 27 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Sion James * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Collin Sexton | 27 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Moussa Diabaté | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Drew Peterson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tre Mann | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Pat Connaughton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 9-21 | 3-6 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 31 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter