Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.5% | 95.5% | +16.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +15 (127-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 33 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 10-12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 25 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 8-14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 20 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jay Huff | 8 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Monté Morris | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 4-12 | 3-11 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins * | 33 | 11-21 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Ronald Holland II * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 28 | 12-13 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 35 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Javonte Green | 27 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 17 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul Reed | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter