Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +12 (118-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green * | 40 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 37 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 28 | 9-22 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 31 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gary Harris | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 36 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 14-22 | 4-8 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 26 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 27 | 7-10 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Dean Wade | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 23 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 20 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter