Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 42.3% | 57.7% | +1.7 | β (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | β |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -2 (122-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 39 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 37 | 9-15 | 3-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 23 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 36 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 23 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 35 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 5-7 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 26 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 21 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Asa Newell | 9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 37 | 10-23 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 35 | 14-25 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 16 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 24 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Dunn * | 23 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 31 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 21 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Nick Richards | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter