Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (138-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 10-20 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 39 | 7-20 | 4-9 | 8-10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 38 | 12-32 | 3-9 | 9-11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 12 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Kris Murray | 32 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Caleb Love | 14 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 7-16 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 37 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Max Christie * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 27 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 25 | 7-16 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 22 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dereck Lively II | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter