Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | β (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -18 (106-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moses Moody * | 33 | 10-16 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 31 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 28 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 24 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Will Richard * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 25 | 8-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Al Horford | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 19 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Quinten Post | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Gui Santos | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 28 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 25 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 6 | - |
| Yves Missi | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 14 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Bryce McGowens | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter