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2025-11-16

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - βœ“
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 βœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 25.4% 74.6% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (121-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 9-22 5-11 14-15 7 8 1 0 3 37 28 -
Ivica Zubac * 33 6-10 0-0 4-4 12 2 1 1 1 16 21 -
John Collins * 30 8-13 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 17 6 -
Kris Dunn * 24 1-5 1-3 3-4 4 3 0 1 3 6 6 -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 10 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 5 2 -
Bogdan Bogdanović 34 4-10 1-5 2-2 4 3 0 0 2 11 6 -
Kobe Sanders 22 4-7 2-3 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 11 12 -
Nicolas Batum 20 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 6 7 -
Brook Lopez 14 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 3 1 1 0 5 10 -
Jordan Miller 11 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 4 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 38 7-17 4-8 4-4 7 9 0 2 1 22 22 -
Jaylen Brown * 38 14-33 1-7 4-7 13 3 2 1 1 33 18 -
Jordan Walsh * 33 2-5 0-1 2-2 8 3 3 1 0 6 16 -
Neemias Queta * 33 7-16 0-0 0-1 9 3 1 1 0 14 12 -
Payton Pritchard * 33 10-16 8-13 2-2 3 2 0 0 0 30 19 -
Baylor Scheierman 18 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 3 4 -
Luka Garza 14 5-6 2-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 0 13 11 -
Josh Minott 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Anfernee Simons 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Sam Hauser 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter