Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 75.1% | 24.9% | -6.1 | β (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | β |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -24 (95-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 38 | 9-19 | 5-11 | 18-20 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 37 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 9-17 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 36 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 28 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Bronny James * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 33 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 31 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 13-18 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 30 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 27 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| AJ Green * | 25 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | - |
| Gary Harris | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 23 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Mark Sears | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter