Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.6% | 17.4% | -8.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -18 (111-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 29 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 28 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 6-14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 19 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Garrett Temple | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 31 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Tony Bradley * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 20 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jay Huff | 15 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 13 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Monté Morris | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter