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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 3.3% 96.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% - ✓
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.4 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 32.1% 67.9% - ✓
Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% - ✓

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (108-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 32 6-23 2-8 12-14 5 2 0 1 2 26 9 -
Cedric Coward * 24 3-8 2-6 2-2 8 2 0 1 2 10 11 -
Zach Edey * 24 3-7 0-1 7-9 7 0 2 2 1 13 16 -
Jaylen Wells * 23 3-8 1-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 8 0 -
Ja Morant * 5 2-2 0-0 3-4 1 2 0 0 1 7 7 -
Vince Williams Jr. 26 3-9 2-4 0-2 4 5 2 0 4 8 6 -
Santi Aldama 25 5-9 2-4 0-2 11 2 1 0 0 12 17 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 23 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
Jock Landale 19 2-8 0-2 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 5 2 -
Cam Spencer 19 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
John Konchar 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 2 4 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 35 7-16 3-6 5-8 13 4 0 4 4 22 23 -
Donovan Mitchell * 32 10-21 4-13 6-9 5 5 2 0 4 30 17 -
De'Andre Hunter * 32 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 9 7 -
Sam Merrill * 27 5-9 2-6 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 13 8 -
Jarrett Allen * 26 5-8 0-0 6-8 6 2 0 1 2 16 15 -
Dean Wade 24 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 2 1 4 7 -
Lonzo Ball 22 3-5 3-5 0-0 7 5 2 0 5 9 13 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 2 6 -
Craig Porter Jr. 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
Larry Nance Jr. 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
Tyrese Proctor 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter