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2025-11-14

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (15.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% -
Points Off/Def 38.3% 61.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -13 (113-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 35 5-15 0-6 1-1 5 4 0 1 3 11 3 -
Scottie Barnes * 34 12-22 1-4 3-3 10 8 1 5 2 28 28 -
Immanuel Quickley * 31 10-13 5-7 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 25 17 -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 7-10 0-0 6-6 7 3 2 0 0 20 22 -
RJ Barrett * 26 3-9 0-3 3-4 9 4 1 0 1 9 13 -
Jamal Shead 23 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 7 0 0 2 8 8 -
Gradey Dick 20 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 6 5 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 17 4-5 2-3 3-3 5 1 0 0 1 13 13 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 4 7 -
Jamison Battle 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Garrett Temple 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 35 7-18 2-9 15-17 6 6 1 2 7 31 21 -
Evan Mobley * 34 2-7 1-3 2-4 9 3 1 0 1 7 12 -
De'Andre Hunter * 27 7-16 1-5 1-2 2 6 0 1 0 16 9 -
Sam Merrill * 27 4-11 3-9 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 12 6 -
Jarrett Allen * 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 2 6 8 -
Craig Porter Jr. 24 4-6 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 2 0 10 13 -
Nae'Qwan Tomlin 21 8-10 0-1 2-2 6 0 2 0 0 18 16 -
Dean Wade 20 1-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tyrese Proctor 11 3-8 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 7 0 -
Larry Nance Jr. 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Thomas Bryant 6 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
Luke Travers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter