Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.3% | 28.7% | -5.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -9 (114-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 7-19 | 0-3 | 12-13 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 32 | 8-17 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Dillon Brooks * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 27 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Dunn | 23 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 20 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Richards | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 34 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 33 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 5 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 30 | 6-17 | 6-16 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 14 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter