Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -5 (120-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 33 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 9-12 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 33 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 13-25 | 5-16 | 15-16 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 32 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 26 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 26 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Will Richard * | 21 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford | 22 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Quinten Post | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 36 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 27 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 25 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter