Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | β |
| Margin | 59.4% | 40.6% | -2.1 | β (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | β |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -8 (117-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 34 | 12-18 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 18 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 29 | 13-18 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 26 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kris Murray | 22 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Duop Reath | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 39 | 8-18 | 3-11 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Kevon Looney * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Derik Queen | 37 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Yves Missi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter