Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.7% | 96.3% | +17.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +23 (135-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George * | 35 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 31 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 29 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tre Johnson * | 27 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Cam Whitmore | 25 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Bub Carrington | 19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 18 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 12 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Malaki Branham | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Champagnie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Will Riley | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 34 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 30 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 27 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 24 | 8-11 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Tari Eason | 20 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Steven Adams | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Clint Capela | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JD Davison | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Green | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter