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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.8% 54.2% - ✗
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 ✗ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✗
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 45.7% 54.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - ✗

Actual: LA Clippers -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 38 3-9 0-2 0-0 3 8 3 1 4 6 8 -
Jalen Johnson * 34 7-16 0-3 2-2 10 8 1 1 1 16 19 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 31 4-11 2-6 1-4 5 0 1 2 2 11 6 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 26 5-12 1-5 9-9 3 4 0 3 0 20 18 -
Keaton Wallace * 24 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
Vít Krejčí 30 9-13 8-10 2-3 3 2 0 1 0 28 21 -
Onyeka Okongwu 26 4-10 0-3 2-2 6 3 0 0 1 10 8 -
Luke Kennard 20 3-9 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 7 4 -
Mouhamed Gueye 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 6 -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 38 12-23 6-14 5-6 10 11 0 2 6 35 29 -
Kris Dunn * 36 5-10 1-4 0-1 2 0 2 1 0 11 6 -
Derrick Jones Jr. * 33 3-8 0-2 5-6 2 2 2 1 0 11 10 -
John Collins * 31 3-11 1-6 2-2 7 0 1 1 0 9 7 -
Ivica Zubac * 30 6-10 0-0 1-4 12 1 0 2 2 13 16 -
Nicolas Batum 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
Cam Christie 18 1-7 1-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 3 3 -
Brook Lopez 16 2-5 2-4 3-4 0 2 0 1 3 9 4 -
Kobe Brown 15 3-3 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 8 -

* = starter