Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (114-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 37 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 7-12 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 30 | 25 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 27 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| AJ Green * | 27 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 31 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gary Harris | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 34 | 9-15 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 26 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Max Christie * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 7-10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 4-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 16 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter