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2025-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% -
Bradley-Terry 7.0% 93.0% -
Margin 2.2% 97.8% +20.8 (18.8 off)
Pythagorean 18.3% 81.7% -
Efficiency 4.3% 95.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% -
Points Off/Def 15.7% 84.3% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +2 (137-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 42 14-25 5-10 9-11 6 4 1 0 4 42 24 -
Alex Sarr * 37 7-16 1-5 0-0 15 2 1 2 3 15 16 -
Kyshawn George * 29 5-10 1-5 3-4 4 6 0 1 3 14 12 -
Khris Middleton * 26 3-10 0-3 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 6 2 -
Tre Johnson * 23 4-7 1-2 1-1 4 3 0 0 1 10 9 -
Bub Carrington 34 4-7 3-5 0-0 7 5 0 0 3 11 13 -
Cam Whitmore 29 6-11 1-5 7-8 2 1 2 0 1 20 13 -
Corey Kispert 22 3-3 2-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 8 10 -
Marvin Bagley III 15 4-6 1-1 0-0 2 1 3 3 3 9 9 -
Justin Champagnie 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Malaki Branham 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 44 14-45 2-11 16-18 12 11 5 2 2 46 29 -
Jalen Duren * 39 6-10 0-0 7-11 14 3 2 0 5 19 23 -
Javonte Green * 38 4-11 1-5 2-2 11 3 1 2 2 11 15 -
Duncan Robinson * 37 5-11 3-9 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 13 8 -
Ronald Holland II * 23 1-4 0-3 3-3 1 1 1 0 2 5 2 -
Daniss Jenkins 33 9-17 4-6 2-2 8 3 4 0 2 24 20 -
Chaz Lanier 26 3-7 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 8 7 -
Paul Reed 13 4-5 0-0 0-2 9 0 1 1 0 8 14 -
Bobi Klintman 7 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter