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2025-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.2% 76.8% - βœ“
Margin 16.2% 83.8% +9.0 βœ“ (22.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 16.1% 83.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 20.2% 79.8% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 24.9% 75.1% - βœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +31 (114-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarace Walker * 31 4-14 3-6 1-1 2 0 0 1 6 12 -5 -
Andrew Nembhard * 29 5-16 2-9 2-2 2 9 2 0 2 14 9 -
Ben Sheppard * 26 1-10 1-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
Jay Huff * 21 5-11 2-6 0-2 11 2 0 3 1 12 16 -
Isaiah Jackson * 21 6-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 12 9 -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 32 3-11 0-3 3-4 12 1 2 0 1 9 12 -
Cody Martin 27 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 3 0 4 2 4 -
MontΓ© Morris 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 8 9 -
Tony Bradley 16 2-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
Taelon Peter 6 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
RayJ Dennis 6 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 5 -1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandin Podziemski * 31 4-11 1-6 5-6 6 1 2 0 2 14 10 -
Jimmy Butler III * 30 10-15 0-0 1-4 9 7 2 1 1 21 24 -
Draymond Green * 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 3 1 -
Quinten Post * 24 4-10 2-7 4-5 8 2 1 0 0 14 15 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 20 1-9 0-5 3-6 8 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
Moses Moody 22 4-11 3-9 2-3 3 1 2 1 0 13 9 -
Will Richard 19 4-8 0-2 7-8 3 1 1 0 0 15 12 -
Buddy Hield 19 3-7 0-3 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 8 8 -
Al Horford 18 4-6 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 3 2 12 12 -
Pat Spencer 16 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 1 0 2 3 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 5 2-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Gui Santos 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Gary Payton II 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter