Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.3% | 16.7% | -8.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -7 (115-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alperen Sengun * | 39 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 11-15 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 37 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 31 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 29 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Steven Adams | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Clint Capela | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 14-25 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 21 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| AJ Green * | 26 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 29 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 17 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter