Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | β (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | β |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (126-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 38 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 15-22 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 41 | 31 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 31 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kevon Looney * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Derik Queen | 24 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 8-19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 30 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter