Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.7% | 57.3% | +1.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +20 (122-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 26 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 23 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 28 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 24 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 23 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Bronny James | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Keaton Wallace * | 35 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye * | 34 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 32 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 27 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Asa Newell | 26 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 24 | 6-14 | 2-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jacob Toppin | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N'Faly Dante | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter