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2025-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 34.6% 65.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 45.2% 54.8% - ✓
Margin 56.1% 43.9% -1.3 ✗ (11.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - ✗
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.6% 55.4% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +10 (130-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 7-17 0-3 7-7 8 5 0 0 1 21 16 -
Immanuel Quickley * 36 8-16 5-9 1-2 6 6 0 0 1 22 17 -
RJ Barrett * 34 7-12 2-4 6-7 3 6 0 0 1 22 18 -
Scottie Barnes * 31 7-14 2-5 2-3 5 4 2 2 2 18 15 -
Ochai Agbaji * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jamal Shead 24 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 9 9 -
Collin Murray-Boyles 21 4-6 1-1 3-6 7 1 1 2 1 12 16 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 17 3-5 1-3 3-3 3 2 2 1 1 10 12 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 11 1-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
Gradey Dick 11 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 -2 -
Jamison Battle 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 42 12-24 3-10 4-5 4 7 1 2 1 31 20 -
Trendon Watford * 36 8-10 1-2 3-5 17 10 0 1 1 20 37 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 36 8-15 1-6 2-3 4 1 0 2 2 19 9 -
VJ Edgecombe * 35 5-15 0-4 1-2 7 4 3 0 2 11 8 -
Joel Embiid * 25 10-16 1-4 8-9 6 4 0 1 2 29 22 -
Quentin Grimes 27 4-8 3-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 3 13 6 -
Andre Drummond 16 1-5 0-0 2-2 8 1 0 1 1 4 8 -
Justin Edwards 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
Adem Bona 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Jabari Walker 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter