Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.4% | 30.6% | -4.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -6 (105-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 33 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Max Christie * | 30 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 17 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 31 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 9-11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 25 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 13 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 30 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Kyshawn George * | 28 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tre Johnson * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Justin Champagnie * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Cam Whitmore | 29 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Bub Carrington | 28 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Malaki Branham | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter