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2025-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 51.5% 48.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% - βœ—
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 βœ— (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.6% 35.4% - βœ—
Efficiency 81.8% 18.2% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 78.2% 21.8% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 67.3% 32.7% - βœ—

Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (121-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Moses Moody * 38 9-15 6-11 4-4 3 3 2 4 3 28 22 -
Jonathan Kuminga * 35 8-19 2-5 6-8 9 3 0 0 5 24 12 -
Will Richard * 34 10-15 5-8 5-7 7 3 1 0 1 30 25 -
Brandin Podziemski * 31 5-10 2-4 2-2 9 9 0 0 4 14 18 -
Quinten Post * 15 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 1 2 2 0 0 4 -
Al Horford 26 0-8 0-7 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 0 2 -
Pat Spencer 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Buddy Hield 13 3-5 1-3 2-2 1 2 1 0 1 9 7 -
Gary Payton II 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 3 7 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Gui Santos 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Russell Westbrook * 35 9-13 3-4 2-2 16 10 1 0 3 23 34 -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 8-20 0-1 9-9 2 2 1 0 1 25 9 -
Drew Eubanks * 32 5-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 2 3 12 12 -
Nique Clifford * 32 4-8 3-6 1-2 3 3 1 0 1 12 10 -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 32 6-17 3-5 3-4 7 7 0 1 3 18 13 -
Malik Monk 25 6-12 2-5 7-8 4 2 0 0 2 21 13 -
Keon Ellis 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 0 4 -
Maxime Raynaud 15 1-3 0-1 4-4 3 0 1 1 1 6 7 -
Precious Achiuwa 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
Devin Carter 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter