Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | β |
| Margin | 71.9% | 28.1% | -5.2 | β (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +2 (118-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 37 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 9-11 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 22 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 41 | 9-27 | 4-11 | 13-17 | 9 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 33 | - |
| Jake LaRavia * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 33 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 22 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 10-10 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Nick Smith Jr. | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bronny James | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter