Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | β |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | β (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (99-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 35 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 29 | 9-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 25 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Kevon Looney * | 14 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Derik Queen | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 22 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 19 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Karlo MatkoviΔ | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Max Christie * | 27 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 20 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 21 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 18 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 10 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter