Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (109-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 13-26 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 34 | 5-18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 25 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Tari Eason | 31 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Clint Capela | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Green | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| JD Davison | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 33 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 28 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 19 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Charles Bassey | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Javon Small | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| PJ Hall | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| GG Jackson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter