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2025-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 2.2% 97.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.5% 88.5% - βœ“
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.4 βœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 18.5% 81.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.6% 91.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 8.5% 91.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 15.2% 84.8% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +29 (136-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Sarr * 29 12-20 4-5 3-4 8 2 0 3 2 31 22 -
Kyshawn George * 28 3-9 0-3 3-5 2 3 0 0 3 9 2 -
Justin Champagnie * 19 4-4 2-2 2-3 6 0 1 0 1 12 14 -
CJ McCollum * 17 1-10 0-4 1-1 1 4 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 16 0-5 0-3 1-2 2 3 0 0 2 1 -1 -
Bub Carrington 30 1-2 1-2 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 3 9 -
Tre Johnson 24 2-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 7 1 -
Malaki Branham 16 3-5 0-2 4-4 3 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
Will Riley 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Corey Kispert 12 3-5 1-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Marvin Bagley III 12 5-6 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 1 2 11 11 -
Cam Whitmore 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 2 0 -
Tristan Vukcevic 6 2-3 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
AJ Johnson 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 1 4 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Minott * 33 8-12 3-6 2-2 5 0 3 0 1 21 16 -
Derrick White * 28 4-8 2-5 2-4 3 8 3 2 0 12 20 -
Jaylen Brown * 25 13-21 2-4 7-9 5 5 1 0 1 35 24 -
Neemias Queta * 24 7-7 0-0 1-2 12 5 1 1 0 15 27 -
Payton Pritchard * 23 7-12 2-6 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 18 11 -
Anfernee Simons 29 7-16 4-10 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 18 4 -
Jordan Walsh 23 3-4 1-2 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 7 13 -
Sam Hauser 22 1-8 1-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 3 0 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 16 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Luka Garza 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Baylor Scheierman 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter