Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✗ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +11 (118-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 39 | 13-24 | 1-5 | 11-11 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 38 | 17 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 35 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Dunn * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Livers | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nick Richards | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 9-23 | 5-12 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Moses Moody | 33 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 24 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 19 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Gui Santos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter