Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +28 (128-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 28 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 23 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| AJ Green * | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 26 | 7-14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 24 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 20 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 20 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gary Harris | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Mark Sears | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 31 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 7-12 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 27 | 9-16 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 26 | 5-15 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 23 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 21 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter