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2025-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 51.4% 48.6% -0.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 52.5% 47.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.2% 51.8% -
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -8 (115-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 37 10-15 2-4 6-6 4 1 1 1 2 28 18 -
Jake LaRavia * 36 5-10 0-3 1-2 5 6 3 0 1 11 14 -
Marcus Smart * 31 3-11 1-5 2-2 2 5 4 0 5 9 4 -
Deandre Ayton * 30 14-19 0-0 1-2 10 2 0 3 3 29 22 -
Dalton Knecht * 23 4-7 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
Nick Smith Jr. 26 10-15 5-6 0-0 1 6 1 0 3 25 15 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 21 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 2 1 1 2 4 9 -
Bronny James 19 1-4 1-2 2-2 1 6 1 0 0 5 9 -
Jaxson Hayes 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 36 10-20 3-9 10-11 6 2 1 1 5 33 18 -
Jrue Holiday * 35 4-11 0-6 0-0 3 6 1 0 2 8 5 -
Toumani Camara * 34 5-13 3-11 1-2 7 2 2 0 3 14 9 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 27 8-17 1-7 6-8 7 2 3 0 2 23 16 -
Donovan Clingan * 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Jerami Grant 30 6-10 2-3 4-7 3 4 2 0 4 18 13 -
Kris Murray 22 3-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 1 1 6 4 -
Robert Williams III 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 6 9 -
Sidy Cissoko 13 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 0 0 5 9 -
Caleb Love 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

* = starter