Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan Robinson * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 12-20 | 3-6 | 6-10 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 33 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 6-6 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 29 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Javonte Green | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Paul Reed | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 21 | 2-14 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Charles Bassey | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 14 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
* = starter