Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.8% | 89.2% | +11.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +8 (110-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 11-20 | 1-5 | 6-10 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Max Christie * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 24 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 18 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 28 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 21 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 39 | 11-18 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 39 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 38 | 6-18 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 29 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Steven Adams | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 16 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Clint Capela | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter