Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | +0.3 | ✗ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -2 (115-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 33 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 31 | 14-21 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 29 | - |
| AJ Green * | 29 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 22 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma | 16 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 15 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarace Walker * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 37 | 11-24 | 1-6 | 9-12 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 33 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 20 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jay Huff | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mac McClung | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter