Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +12 (130-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Castle * | 34 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 27 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 18 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 9 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Riley Minix | 4 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Harrison Ingram | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 34 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 34 | 10-15 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 24 | - |
| Royce O'Neale * | 29 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Ryan Dunn * | 27 | 6-8 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Collin Gillespie | 21 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jordan Goodwin | 20 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Oso Ighodaro | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nick Richards | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nigel Hayes-Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Khaman Maluach | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Rasheer Fleming | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Koby Brea | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter