Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +12 (122-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Max Christie * | 33 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 33 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 19 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 29 | 10-17 | 7-13 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 5-8 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 35 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 29 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 33 | 31 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 25 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 18 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Javonte Green | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter