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2025-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - βœ—
Margin 31.5% 68.5% +4.3 βœ— (31.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - βœ—
Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 39.1% 60.9% - βœ—

Actual: Boston Celtics -27 (101-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amen Thompson * 32 6-12 1-1 4-6 9 8 0 0 3 17 19 -
Alperen Sengun * 30 5-13 1-3 5-7 10 9 1 2 4 16 21 -
Kevin Durant * 29 8-11 2-3 8-9 4 1 2 1 2 26 21 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 26 5-10 1-3 1-1 6 0 1 4 1 12 12 -
Josh Okogie * 21 3-5 3-5 3-4 0 2 1 0 0 12 10 -
Tari Eason 20 4-7 4-6 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 12 9 -
Clint Capela 18 1-3 0-0 2-4 10 1 1 1 1 4 13 -
Reed Sheppard 16 4-6 4-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 12 9 -
Steven Adams 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 4 8 -
Jae'Sean Tate 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Aaron Holiday 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 2 3 -
JD Davison 7 2-2 1-1 0-2 0 1 0 1 0 5 5 -
Jeff Green 7 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 6 5 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Payton Pritchard * 26 5-10 1-4 3-3 1 4 1 0 1 14 9 -
Jaylen Brown * 21 6-14 0-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 5 12 1 -
Josh Minott * 19 3-11 2-6 2-2 6 3 2 0 1 10 9 -
Derrick White * 19 2-11 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 1 0 5 0 -
Neemias Queta * 15 4-6 0-1 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
Baylor Scheierman 22 6-7 4-5 1-1 5 1 2 0 0 17 18 -
Jordan Walsh 18 4-10 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
Anfernee Simons 16 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 16 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 -1 -
Sam Hauser 16 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
Luka Garza 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Chris Boucher 12 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 -1 -
Ron Harper Jr. 9 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
Amari Williams 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
Xavier Tillman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter