Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.5 | ✗ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +5 (114-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 8-23 | 4-16 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | -1 | - |
| Moses Moody | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Quinten Post | 12 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Gui Santos | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 38 | 12-23 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 35 | 10-19 | 5-11 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 31 | 10-16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 28 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Johnny Furphy | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 16 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jay Huff | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter