Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.3% | 32.7% | -4.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +10 (120-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 36 | 7-18 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 34 | 8-19 | 4-10 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 33 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 25 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford | 20 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Will Richard | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Moses Moody | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Gui Santos | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Rollins * | 36 | 13-21 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| AJ Green * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 29 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 29 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Cole Anthony | 21 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 18 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 18 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Gary Harris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter