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2025-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% -
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% -
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% -
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -1 (113-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 7-14 2-6 2-4 6 3 3 1 3 18 14 -
Ja Morant * 31 10-19 3-8 5-5 8 7 2 0 6 28 20 -
Jaylen Wells * 29 3-9 1-5 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 9 6 -
Jock Landale * 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 1 1 6 5 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 18 5-12 1-2 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 11 7 -
Santi Aldama 30 6-12 2-5 0-0 10 5 3 0 1 14 19 -
Cedric Coward 28 5-10 2-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 3 14 7 -
Cam Spencer 18 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 6 1 0 0 6 10 -
John Konchar 16 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
Javon Small 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grayson Allen * 36 4-10 2-6 4-4 3 4 0 0 5 14 6 -
Devin Booker * 36 10-26 4-11 8-9 4 3 1 1 3 32 12 -
Royce O'Neale * 34 6-12 6-11 0-0 3 5 0 0 2 18 12 -
Mark Williams * 27 9-12 0-0 2-2 12 1 4 1 2 20 24 -
Ryan Dunn * 27 4-9 1-4 0-0 6 3 2 1 3 9 9 -
Collin Gillespie 30 5-10 3-7 1-2 6 5 2 1 1 14 17 -
Nigel Hayes-Davis 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 4 -
Oso Ighodaro 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
Nick Richards 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
Isaiah Livers 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter