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2025-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% -
Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.2% 68.8% -
Log Adjusted 31.1% 68.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -1 (115-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 39 9-24 3-11 7-7 1 16 2 0 3 28 20 -
Rui Hachimura * 37 7-14 1-4 2-2 5 4 0 0 3 17 9 -
Jake LaRavia * 37 10-11 5-6 2-5 8 2 1 1 3 27 25 -
Deandre Ayton * 35 8-11 0-0 1-2 10 3 0 1 2 17 18 -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 26 1-3 0-1 1-2 12 4 1 0 4 3 13 -
Dalton Knecht 36 7-12 1-5 0-1 1 1 1 2 0 15 8 -
Jaxson Hayes 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 1 2 6 -
Nick Smith Jr. 10 2-6 1-4 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
Bronny James 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden McDaniels * 40 11-19 3-4 5-5 7 1 1 0 2 30 18 -
Rudy Gobert * 38 4-5 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 2 3 9 11 -
Julius Randle * 35 10-20 4-7 9-10 5 6 1 0 3 33 22 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 33 4-7 3-5 3-3 4 6 1 0 3 14 15 -
Mike Conley * 28 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 6 3 2 2 8 15 -
Naz Reid 22 2-10 1-5 0-2 5 1 0 1 2 5 0 -
Rob Dillingham 16 4-8 0-0 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 8 6 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
Bones Hyland 8 3-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 8 5 -

* = starter